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Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

How the prediction market is pricing "Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli 50% Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 Winner 50% Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 Winner 50% Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Total Sets: O/U 2.5 50% Volume: $95K Liquidity: $4K Closes: 30 Sept 2026
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Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli50%
Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 Winner50%
Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 Winner50%
Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 8.550%
Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 10.550%
Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.550%
Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 22.550%
Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 23.550%
Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Game Spread +/-4.550%
Completed Match0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 50% YES probability for Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli. This market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nuno B…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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