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Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen

How the prediction market is pricing "Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 2 O/U 10.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 3 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $402K Liquidity: $149K Closes: 8 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 3 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 3 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 2 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 40.598%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen94%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 36.583%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Total Sets: O/U 3.577%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 38.563%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 4 O/U 9.551%
Completed Match50%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Total Sets: O/U 4.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set Handicap +/-2.56%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 3 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 3 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen Set 1 Winner0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, wimbledon atp: arthur fery vs otto virtanen stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Otto Virtanen in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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