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Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winter

How the prediction market is pricing "Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winter" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winter Set 1 Winner 100% Completed Match 100% Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winter Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winter Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $124K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winter

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winter Set 1 Winner100%
Completed Match100%
Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winter Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winter Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winter Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winter Match O/U 21.5100%
Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winter Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winter Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winter Match O/U 22.5100%
Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winter Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winter Match O/U 23.5100%
Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winter Set 2 Winner0%
Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winter Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winter Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winter0%
Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winter Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, cary: daniil glinka vs edward winter stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Glinka and Edward Winter in the Cary, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Danii…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winter Set 1 Winner at 100% for "Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winter".

Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winter Set 1 Winner 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $124K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winter. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

Sports Tennis Prediction Markets