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Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe

How the prediction market is pricing "Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Completed Match 100% Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Match O/U 21.5 100% Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $135K Liquidity: $35K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Match O/U 21.5100%
Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Match O/U 22.5100%
Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe0%
Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Set 1 Winner0%
Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Set 2 Winner0%
Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to lincoln: masamichi imamura vs james mccabe. This market refers to the tennis match between Masamichi Imamura and James McCabe in the Lincoln, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Masamichi Imamura'…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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