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Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri

How the prediction market is pricing "Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Set 1 Winner 100% Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $332K Liquidity: $133K Closes: 17 Sept 2026
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Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Set 1 Winner100%
Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Match O/U 21.5100%
Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Match O/U 22.5100%
Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Match O/U 23.5100%
Completed Match52%
Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Game Spread +/-3.550%
Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri5%
Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Set 2 Winner0%
Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of seville: pavel lagutin vs max alcala gurri. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Lagutin and Max Alcala Gurri in the Seville, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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Related Topics

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