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US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley

Football snapshot for "US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 Winner 91% US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley 72% US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 Winner 59% Volume: $637K Liquidity: $122K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 Winner91%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley72%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 Winner59%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Total Sets: O/U 3.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 36.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Total Sets: O/U 4.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 40.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set Handicap +/-1.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set Handicap +/-2.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set Handicap +/-1.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set Handicap +/-2.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Game Spread +/-0.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 3 Winner49%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 38.548%

Market context

The US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Landaluce and Jacob Fearnley in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Land…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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Related Topics

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