Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Royal Antwerp FC | 100% |
| Draw | 0% |
| SK Beveren | 0% |
Market context
Royal Antwerp FC are hosting SK Beveren at the Bosuilstadion in the opening round of the Belgian Pro League, with the market priced for a home win but already showing no room for uncertainty at 100% YES. The historical frame still matters here: Antwerp have generally carried the stronger top-flight profile, and one recent head-to-head reference on the league site shows Antwerp winning 3-2 in a prior meeting, while other previews point to a much tighter 2-2 draw in the last comparable cup clash in 2022[16][6].
That is the context for reading the current probability: it reflects a heavyweight home side against a smaller opponent rather than a settled forecast of the scoreline. Recent preview data also leans towards goals, with bookmakers and model-based write-ups split between Antwerp win and both teams to score, which is consistent with a market expecting Antwerp to control the game but not necessarily to keep it clean[6][8][12]. For traders, the most important catalysts are the confirmed line-ups, late injury or suspension news, and any final change to the home selection in the hour before kick-off; the Pro League match listing shows the official fixture at Bosuilstadion at 17:15 UTC[1][16].
The key dependency is whether Antwerp field their strongest available attack and first-choice centre-backs, because that determines whether the market’s certainty is justified or whether a more competitive scoreline becomes live. Beveren’s case is more sensitive to continuity and defensive availability, since their recent preview form has been used to frame them as the underdog with upside only if Antwerp rotate heavily or start slowly[3][12].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $96K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Royal Antwerp FC vs. SK Beveren. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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