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Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CR Flamengo - Exact Score

How the prediction market is pricing "Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CR Flamengo - Exact Score" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Any Other Score 100% Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 0 - 0 CR Flamengo 0% Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 0 - 1 CR Flamengo 0% Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 1 - 0 CR Flamengo 0% Volume: $75K Liquidity: $755K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CR Flamengo - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Other Score100%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 0 - 0 CR Flamengo0%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 0 - 1 CR Flamengo0%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 1 - 0 CR Flamengo0%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 0 - 2 CR Flamengo0%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 1 - 1 CR Flamengo0%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 2 - 0 CR Flamengo0%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 0 - 3 CR Flamengo0%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 1 - 2 CR Flamengo0%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 2 - 1 CR Flamengo0%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 3 - 0 CR Flamengo0%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 1 - 3 CR Flamengo0%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 2 - 2 CR Flamengo0%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 3 - 1 CR Flamengo0%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 2 - 3 CR Flamengo0%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 3 - 2 CR Flamengo0%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 3 - 3 CR Flamengo0%

Market context

Associação Chapecoense de Futebol meet CR Flamengo in a Série A fixture where the historical scoring pattern points more towards a Flamengo win than a narrow Chapecoense upset. In the recent head-to-head record, Flamengo have won 11 of 16 meetings, with Chapecoense taking two and three ending level; one report also notes the last league meeting between them in 2021 finished 2-2 at Arena Condá[1][3][5]. That matters for an exact-score market because this rivalry has not been goal-free: one head-to-head database shows 60% of the last five meetings went over the total-goals line, while Flamengo’s recent five-match sample there is 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat with 2.0 goals scored per game[2].

The current setup also favours keeping the market anchored to Flamengo’s attacking edge, but the exact score depends heavily on team news. Flamengo’s club coverage ahead of a previous Chapecoense meeting said the squad was available and that left-back Renê trained normally and travelled, illustrating how late fitness calls can shift line-up confidence[8]. For this 2026 league match, the main catalysts are any confirmed rotation after Flamengo’s travel and friendlies, plus Chapecoense’s ability to tighten up after a poor league campaign; one preview described Chapecoense as bottom with one win, six draws and 11 losses from 18 matches, while Flamengo were second[10]. If Flamengo field a first-choice front line, 0-1, 0-2 or 1-2 become the scores to watch; if they rotate heavily, a lower-scoring away win or draw becomes more plausible[10].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CR Flamengo - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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