Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Florida International O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Florida International O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Florida International O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Buffalo O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Florida International 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Florida International 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Florida International 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Buffalo 1H O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Florida International 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Florida International 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Florida International 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Buffalo 2H O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Buffalo 2H O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Florida International O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Florida International O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| Florida International O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| O/U 48.5 | 99% |
| O/U 45.5 | 91% |
| Florida International O/U 32.5 | 91% |
| Florida International O/U 31.5 | 91% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 91% |
| O/U 47.5 | 63% |
| Spread -3.5 | 61% |
| O/U 53.5 | 61% |
| Spread -10.5 | 56% |
| Spread -4.5 | 55% |
| Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| Spread -13.5 | 53% |
| Spread -9.5 | 53% |
| Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| O/U 51.5 | 51% |
| O/U 49.5 | 51% |
| Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Spread -16.5 | 51% |
| Spread -17.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Buffalo O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Florida International O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Florida International O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Florida International 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Florida International 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Florida International 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Carrie: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Terrance Shelton Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Devonte Lyons: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| JJ Kohl: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kyle McNeal: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chance Morrow: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Elijah Holmes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sterling Joseph: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| JoJo Stone: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jasaiah Gathings: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Greg Gaines III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Maguire Anderson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| James Resar: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| James McNeil Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Messiah Burch: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jackson Verdugo: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dwayne Early Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Patrick Clacks III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Clint Walker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Trevor Wilson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Florida International O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 48% |
| Spread -20.5 | 46% |
| Spread -23.5 | 46% |
| Spread -21.5 | 44% |
| O/U 65.5 | 42% |
| Spread -27.5 | 39% |
| Spread -30.5 | 27% |
| Spread -24.5 | 20% |
| Buffalo vs. Florida International | 1% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Buffalo 1H O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Buffalo 1H O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Buffalo 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Buffalo 1H O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Buffalo 1H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Buffalo 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of buffalo vs. florida international. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Buffalo and Florida International, scheduled for September 12 at 6:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Buffalo" if Buffalo win the g…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $92K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Buffalo vs. Florida International. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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