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Duke vs. Illinois

"Duke vs. Illinois" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

O/U 54.5 100% O/U 53.5 100% O/U 51.5 100% O/U 34.5 100% Volume: $141K Liquidity: $157K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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Duke vs. Illinois

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 54.5100%
O/U 53.5100%
O/U 51.5100%
O/U 34.5100%
O/U 36.5100%
O/U 38.5100%
O/U 40.5100%
O/U 42.5100%
O/U 44.5100%
O/U 46.5100%
O/U 48.5100%
O/U 50.5100%
O/U 52.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
Duke O/U 16.5100%
Duke O/U 19.5100%
Duke O/U 22.5100%
Duke O/U 25.5100%
Illinois O/U 23.5100%
Duke 1H O/U 8.5100%
Duke 1H O/U 10.5100%
Duke 1H O/U 12.5100%
O/U 33.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
Illinois 1H O/U 12.5100%
Illinois 1H O/U 14.5100%
Illinois 1H O/U 16.5100%
Duke 1H O/U 9.5100%
Duke 1H O/U 11.5100%
Duke 1H O/U 13.5100%
Illinois O/U 22.5100%
Duke O/U 17.5100%
Duke O/U 20.5100%
Duke O/U 23.5100%
Duke O/U 26.5100%
Duke 1H O/U 14.5100%
Illinois 1H O/U 11.5100%
Illinois 1H O/U 13.5100%
Illinois 1H O/U 15.5100%
O/U 32.5100%
1H Spread -0.5100%
1H O/U 19.5100%
1H O/U 22.5100%
1H O/U 25.5100%
1H O/U 28.5100%
1H O/U 31.5100%
1Q O/U 3.5100%
1Q O/U 6.5100%
1Q O/U 9.5100%
1Q O/U 12.5100%
1Q O/U 15.5100%
2Q O/U 8.5100%
2Q O/U 11.5100%
2Q O/U 14.5100%
2Q O/U 17.5100%
2Q O/U 20.5100%
3Q O/U 4.5100%
O/U 56.598%
3Q Moneyline91%
Illinois O/U 26.591%
Illinois O/U 25.591%
3Q Spread -3.591%
3Q Spread -1.591%
3Q Spread -0.591%
3Q O/U 7.591%
O/U 66.567%
O/U 60.561%
Spread -1.561%
Duke vs. Illinois54%
Spread -2.553%
Spread -8.550%
Duke O/U 0.550%
Duke O/U 1.550%
Duke O/U 2.550%
Duke O/U 3.550%
Illinois O/U 0.550%
Illinois O/U 1.550%
Illinois O/U 2.550%
Illinois O/U 3.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -27.550%
Spread -31.550%
Spread -34.550%
O/U 58.550%
O/U 62.550%
O/U 64.550%
O/U 68.550%
O/U 70.550%
O/U 74.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Nate Sheppard: Anytime Touchdown50%
Collin Dixon: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ca'Lil Valentine: Anytime Touchdown50%
Aidan Laughery: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jeremiah Hasley: Anytime Touchdown50%
Katin Houser: Anytime Touchdown50%
Hudson Clement: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jared Richardson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brayden Trimble: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ty Robinson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kaden Feagin: Anytime Touchdown50%
Christian Abney: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jonah Burton: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jayden Moore: Anytime Touchdown50%
Walker Eget: Anytime Touchdown50%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Duke O/U 28.550%
Illinois O/U 29.550%
Illinois O/U 32.550%
Illinois O/U 35.550%
Duke O/U 2.550%
Illinois O/U 3.550%
Illinois O/U 28.550%
Illinois O/U 31.550%
Illinois O/U 34.550%
Duke O/U 29.550%
CJ Campbell Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jordan Anderson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Javen Nicholas: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jake Taylor: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kavon Simmons: Anytime Touchdown50%
Duke 2H O/U 9.550%
Duke 2H O/U 11.550%
Duke 2H O/U 13.550%
Illinois 2H O/U 11.550%
Illinois 2H O/U 13.550%
Illinois 2H O/U 15.550%
Duke 2H O/U 10.550%
Duke 2H O/U 12.550%
Duke 2H O/U 14.550%
Duke 2H O/U 15.550%
Illinois 2H O/U 12.550%
Illinois 2H O/U 14.550%
Illinois 2H O/U 16.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -12.550%
Spread -19.550%
Spread -22.550%
Spread -26.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H O/U 19.550%
2H O/U 22.550%
2H O/U 25.550%
2H O/U 28.550%
2H O/U 31.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q O/U 8.550%
4Q O/U 11.550%
4Q O/U 14.550%
4Q O/U 17.550%
4Q O/U 20.550%
Duke 2H O/U 8.550%
O/U 72.549%
Spread -20.546%
Spread -21.546%
Spread -16.545%
Spread -1.544%
Spread -14.543%
Spread -4.543%
Spread -14.542%
Spread -6.539%
Spread -7.538%
Spread -2.533%
Spread -9.532%
Spread -4.531%
Spread -3.530%
Spread -13.529%
Spread -11.529%
Spread -5.527%
Spread -17.522%
Spread -10.522%
Spread -23.522%
Spread -7.518%
Spread -11.514%
Spread -10.511%
3Q Spread -0.510%
3Q Spread -1.510%
3Q Spread -2.510%
3Q Spread -3.510%
3Q O/U 10.510%
3Q O/U 13.510%
3Q O/U 16.510%
Spread -24.56%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of duke vs. illinois. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Duke and Illinois, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Duke" if Duke win the game. This market will …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 54.5 at 100% for "Duke vs. Illinois".

O/U 54.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $141K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Duke vs. Illinois. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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