Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -2.5 | 95% |
| Spread -3.5 | 95% |
| Spread -4.5 | 95% |
| Spread -5.5 | 94% |
| O/U 33.5 | 94% |
| Spread -6.5 | 93% |
| O/U 35.5 | 91% |
| Spread -7.5 | 90% |
| Spread -8.5 | 89% |
| O/U 37.5 | 88% |
| Spread -10.5 | 87% |
| O/U 39.5 | 85% |
| Spread -13.5 | 84% |
| East Carolina O/U 5.5 | 84% |
| East Carolina O/U 4.5 | 84% |
| Spread -14.5 | 81% |
| Spread -1.5 | 80% |
| O/U 41.5 | 80% |
| East Carolina O/U 6.5 | 80% |
| Spread -16.5 | 77% |
| Spread -17.5 | 77% |
| O/U 43.5 | 77% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 75% |
| Alabama O/U 33.5 | 75% |
| Spread -20.5 | 70% |
| Alabama O/U 34.5 | 70% |
| O/U 45.5 | 69% |
| East Carolina O/U 7.5 | 68% |
| East Carolina O/U 8.5 | 66% |
| Spread -21.5 | 65% |
| O/U 47.5 | 64% |
| East Carolina O/U 9.5 | 64% |
| Alabama O/U 36.5 | 64% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 61% |
| Alabama O/U 37.5 | 61% |
| Spread -24.5 | 59% |
| O/U 49.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 59% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 57% |
| Spread -0.5 | 56% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 56% |
| Spread -27.5 | 55% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 53% |
| Alabama O/U 39.5 | 53% |
| East Carolina O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| O/U 51.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 52% |
| Alabama O/U 40.5 | 52% |
| East Carolina O/U 11.5 | 52% |
| O/U 52.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| East Carolina 1H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 18.5 | 51% |
| Josh Ford: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Michael Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Jeremiah Melvin: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Tyler Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 1H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Hill: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kevin Riley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keelon Russell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Lotzeir Brooks: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| EJ Crowell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaleb Edwards: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ashton Gray: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Derek Meadows: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Rico Scott: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| TJ Engleman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mitch Griffis: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brock Spalding: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ismael Smith Flores: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dillon Lorick: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 12.5 | 49% |
| Spread: Alabama (-28.5) | 48% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 48% |
| O/U 53.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| O/U 54.5 | 45% |
| East Carolina O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| O/U 55.5 | 42% |
| Alabama O/U 42.5 | 41% |
| Spread -31.5 | 40% |
| Alabama O/U 43.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 39% |
| O/U 57.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -15.5 | 37% |
| East Carolina O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| East Carolina O/U 15.5 | 34% |
| Spread -34.5 | 33% |
| O/U 59.5 | 32% |
| Alabama O/U 45.5 | 31% |
| East Carolina O/U 16.5 | 31% |
| Alabama O/U 46.5 | 30% |
| O/U 61.5 | 28% |
| O/U 63.5 | 24% |
| East Carolina O/U 17.5 | 24% |
| East Carolina O/U 18.5 | 23% |
| O/U 65.5 | 19% |
| O/U 67.5 | 17% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 16% |
| O/U 69.5 | 13% |
| O/U 71.5 | 11% |
| 1H Moneyline | 9% |
| O/U 73.5 | 8% |
| East Carolina vs. Alabama | 3% |
Market context
East Carolina vs. Alabama — current market-implied probability: 95%. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 12:00PM ET: If East Carolina wins, the market will resolve to "East Carolina". If Alabama wins, the market will resolve to "Alabama"…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $171K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for East Carolina vs. Alabama. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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