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Iowa State vs. Iowa

How the prediction market is pricing "Iowa State vs. Iowa" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 21.5 100% Iowa State O/U 7.5 100% Iowa State O/U 10.5 100% Iowa State 1H O/U 4.5 100% Volume: $164K Liquidity: $382K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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Iowa State vs. Iowa

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 21.5100%
Iowa State O/U 7.5100%
Iowa State O/U 10.5100%
Iowa State 1H O/U 4.5100%
Iowa State 1H O/U 6.5100%
Iowa State 1H O/U 8.5100%
1H O/U 14.5100%
1H O/U 17.5100%
2Q O/U 6.5100%
2Q O/U 9.5100%
2Q O/U 12.5100%
2Q O/U 15.5100%
2Q O/U 18.5100%
3Q O/U 1.5100%
3Q Moneyline91%
3Q Spread -1.591%
O/U 27.588%
Spread -2.553%
Spread -1.552%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -20.550%
Spread -27.550%
Spread -31.550%
Spread -34.550%
O/U 23.550%
O/U 25.550%
O/U 29.550%
O/U 31.550%
O/U 35.550%
O/U 37.550%
O/U 47.550%
O/U 49.550%
O/U 53.550%
O/U 55.550%
O/U 59.550%
O/U 61.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Iowa State O/U 1.550%
Iowa O/U 3.550%
Kamari Moulton: Anytime Touchdown50%
DJ Vonnahme: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tony Diaz: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jaylen Raynor: Anytime Touchdown50%
Xavier Williams: Anytime Touchdown50%
Reece Vander Zee: Anytime Touchdown50%
Addison Ostrenga: Anytime Touchdown50%
Nathan McNeil: Anytime Touchdown50%
Aiden Flora: Anytime Touchdown50%
Cameron Pettaway: Anytime Touchdown50%
Evan James: Anytime Touchdown50%
Cody Jackson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Omari Hayes: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tyler Fortenberry: Anytime Touchdown50%
1H Moneyline50%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -6.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
1Q Moneyline50%
2Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Iowa O/U 21.550%
Iowa O/U 24.550%
Iowa O/U 27.550%
Iowa O/U 30.550%
Iowa O/U 33.550%
Iowa State O/U 13.550%
Iowa State O/U 16.550%
Iowa State O/U 19.550%
2H Spread -8.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
L.J. Phillips Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Hank Brown: Anytime Touchdown50%
Evan Boyd: Anytime Touchdown50%
Dayton Howard: Anytime Touchdown50%
Easton Miller: Anytime Touchdown50%
Dominic Overby: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jarriett Buie: Anytime Touchdown50%
Carter Pabst: Anytime Touchdown50%
Vince Benetti: Anytime Touchdown50%
Iowa 2H O/U 11.550%
Iowa 2H O/U 13.550%
Iowa 2H O/U 15.550%
Iowa State 2H O/U 4.550%
Iowa State 2H O/U 6.550%
Iowa State 2H O/U 8.550%
Iowa 2H O/U 10.550%
Iowa 2H O/U 12.550%
Iowa 2H O/U 14.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -15.550%
Spread -18.550%
Spread -19.550%
Spread -22.550%
Spread -28.550%
Spread -30.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -9.550%
2H O/U 14.550%
2H O/U 17.550%
2H O/U 20.550%
2H O/U 23.550%
2H O/U 26.550%
4Q Spread -7.550%
4Q O/U 4.550%
4Q O/U 7.550%
4Q O/U 10.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
O/U 43.549%
Spread -6.548%
O/U 51.547%
Spread: Iowa (-11.5)46%
Iowa State vs. Iowa44%
Spread -2.544%
Spread -3.541%
O/U 33.540%
Spread -3.537%
Spread -12.535%
Spread -4.533%
Spread -10.522%
O/U 39.519%
Spread -6.517%
O/U 42.514%
O/U 40.514%
O/U 41.513%
Spread -5.513%
Spread -7.511%
O/U 45.511%
3Q Spread -0.510%
3Q Spread -1.510%
3Q Spread -2.510%
3Q Spread -3.510%
3Q Spread -4.510%
3Q Spread -5.510%
3Q O/U 4.510%
3Q O/U 7.510%
3Q O/U 10.510%
3Q O/U 13.510%
Spread -9.59%
Spread -16.58%
Spread -17.57%
O/U 57.57%
Spread -21.54%
Spread -13.53%
Spread -14.53%
Spread -24.52%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
Iowa 1H O/U 12.50%
Iowa 1H O/U 14.50%
Iowa 1H O/U 16.50%
Iowa 1H O/U 11.50%
Iowa 1H O/U 13.50%
Iowa 1H O/U 15.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -11.50%
1H O/U 20.50%
1H O/U 23.50%
1H O/U 26.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q O/U 1.50%
1Q O/U 4.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to iowa state vs. iowa. In the upcoming college football game between Iowa State and Iowa, scheduled for September 12 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iowa State" if Iowa State win the game. This market will resolv…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 21.5 at 100% for "Iowa State vs. Iowa".

O/U 21.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $164K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Iowa State vs. Iowa. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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