Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 99% |
| Spread -1.5 | 96% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 96% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 96% |
| Spread -2.5 | 93% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| Spread -3.5 | 90% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 90% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 90% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 90% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 90% |
| Virginia 1H O/U 11.5 | 90% |
| Virginia 1H O/U 13.5 | 90% |
| Virginia 1H O/U 15.5 | 90% |
| Virginia 1H O/U 12.5 | 90% |
| Virginia 1H O/U 14.5 | 90% |
| Virginia 1H O/U 16.5 | 90% |
| Spread -4.5 | 89% |
| Spread: Virginia (-5.5) | 87% |
| Spread -6.5 | 85% |
| Spread -7.5 | 82% |
| O/U 33.5 | 78% |
| Spread -10.5 | 73% |
| Spread -13.5 | 67% |
| Spread -14.5 | 63% |
| Spread -16.5 | 60% |
| Spread -17.5 | 54% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| North Carolina State 1H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -27.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| North Carolina State O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Virginia O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Virginia O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Virginia O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Virginia O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Virginia O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| North Carolina State 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Virginia 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Virginia 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Virginia 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Virginia O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Virginia O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Virginia O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Virginia O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Virginia O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| Spread -20.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| Spread -21.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 37% |
| O/U 45.5 | 28% |
| Spread -24.5 | 18% |
| O/U 52.5 | 17% |
| O/U 51.5 | 13% |
| O/U 53.5 | 10% |
| O/U 55.5 | 8% |
| O/U 57.5 | 6% |
| North Carolina State vs. Virginia | 5% |
| O/U 63.5 | 2% |
| O/U 69.5 | 2% |
| 1H Moneyline | 1% |
Market context
North Carolina State vs. Virginia — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for August 29 at 3:30PM ET: If North Carolina State wins, the market will resolve to "North Carolina State". If Virginia wins, the market will resolve …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $245K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for North Carolina State vs. Virginia. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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