Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| Army 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Army 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Army 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Army 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Army O/U 18.5 | 91% |
| Army O/U 21.5 | 91% |
| South Florida O/U 17.5 | 91% |
| Army O/U 19.5 | 91% |
| Army O/U 22.5 | 91% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 8.5 | 91% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 12.5 | 91% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 7.5 | 91% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 9.5 | 91% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 11.5 | 91% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 91% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 91% |
| O/U 47.5 | 59% |
| O/U 45.5 | 57% |
| Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| South Florida O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Florida O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| South Florida O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Army O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Army O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Army O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Army O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| Spread -27.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| O/U 70.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Army O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Army O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Army O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| South Florida O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| South Florida O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| South Florida O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| South Florida O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Army O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| South Florida O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| South Florida O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Army O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Army O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Army O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Army 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Army 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Army 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Cale Hellums: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| D.J. Crowther: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Godspower Nwawuihe: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jason Collins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Samari Howard: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Arhmad Branch: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Michael Van Buren Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Zach Mundell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Stratton Fuller: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Bryson Rodgers: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jake Rendina: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| JeyQuan Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brady Anderson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chase Garnett: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Wyatt Sullivan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Lloyd Benson III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cameron Seldon: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Armani Winfield: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Alvon Isaac: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mudia Reuben: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tobi Olawole: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Army O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Army 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Army 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Army 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| O/U 52.5 | 48% |
| Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Spread -16.5 | 45% |
| O/U 50.5 | 43% |
| Spread -14.5 | 43% |
| O/U 68.5 | 43% |
| O/U 46.5 | 42% |
| O/U 51.5 | 41% |
| Spread -10.5 | 41% |
| Spread -11.5 | 40% |
| Spread -7.5 | 39% |
| Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| Spread -6.5 | 35% |
| O/U 56.5 | 35% |
| Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| Spread -4.5 | 25% |
| South Florida vs. Army | 23% |
| Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| Spread -2.5 | 19% |
| O/U 62.5 | 15% |
| Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| Spread -4.5 | 13% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Army 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Army 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of south florida vs. army. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between South Florida and Army, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "South Florida" if South Florida win the…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $150K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for South Florida vs. Army. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade South Florida vs. Army on World Cup 2026 Favorites
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →