Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
53% | 47% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
53% | 47% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred: MI London vs Trent Rockets - Completed match? | 53% |
| The Hundred: MI London vs Trent Rockets | 0% |
| The Hundred: MI London vs Trent Rockets - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
MI London and Trent Rockets are meeting at the Kia Oval in a men’s Hundred league match, with Trent Rockets having already beaten MI London earlier in the 2026 campaign. Trent Rockets’ recent results have been stronger overall, including a six-wicket win over MI London in which Mitchell Santner’s unbeaten 52 and Tim David’s 32 carried a chase of 148, while ESPN’s table on the same fixture shows Trent Rockets arriving with 20 points from six matches against MI London’s 16. [1][2]
For historical context, this matchup has tended to be competitive rather than one-sided, but MI London did take both league and final meetings in 2025, including a chase of 170 at the Oval and a 25-run win in the final at Lord’s. That said, recent 2026 form tilts towards Trent Rockets, who had also strung together six straight wins in the men’s competition before this game and had already established themselves near the top of the table, so the crowd’s 0% yes price is easiest to read as a reflection of a very specific match state rather than a general view of the head-to-head. [1][5][11][14]
The key trader inputs are team news, batting order, and the toss, because this was already a venue where chasing has looked workable and Trent Rockets elected to field first. Sky Sports noted that the men’s Hundred runs through to the finals on 16 August, so the line-up picture can still shift quickly around rest, niggles, or late tactical changes, and any absence of a frontline bowler or powerplay hitter would matter more than broad season averages in a short-format match. [4][7][9]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $154K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for The Hundred: MI London vs Trent Rockets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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