Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
53% | 47% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
53% | 47% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred: Southern Brave vs MI London - Completed match? | 53% |
| The Hundred: Southern Brave vs MI London | 0% |
| The Hundred: Southern Brave vs MI London - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
The Hundred tournament in England will feature Southern Brave hosting MI London on 27 July 2026 at The Rose Bowl in Hampshire. The match forms part of the men's domestic T20 competition, with settlement contingent on the official result published by ESPNcricinfo. The 0% implied probability suggests either a technical issue with market initialisation or an expectation of non-completion, though The Hundred has historically maintained a strong fixture completion rate across its eight editions since 2021.
Southern Brave and MI London have competing recent trajectories in the tournament format. Southern Brave won the inaugural Hundred in 2021 and reached the final again in 2022, establishing themselves as consistent contenders, whilst MI London (formerly Manchester Originals until rebranding in 2024) have shown volatility, finishing mid-table in most seasons. Head-to-head records in The Hundred favour Brave marginally, though squad composition shifts annually with player retention and auction acquisitions. Key variables include injury status of marquee players—Southern Brave typically rely on overseas batsmen for acceleration, whilst MI London's strength lies in their bowling depth.
Traders should monitor team announcements through late July regarding squad availability and any late withdrawals due to international commitments or injury. Weather forecasts for Hampshire on match day carry weight given The Hundred's compressed schedule; rain could trigger DLS calculations or, in extreme cases, fixture postponement. Recent squad lists and playing XI confirmations typically emerge 24–48 hours before fixture time. The settlement window closing on 3 August allows for any administrative delays in result publication, though same-day or next-day confirmation is standard practice.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $304K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for The Hundred: Southern Brave vs MI London. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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