Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
64% | 36% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
64% | 36% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Southern Brave | 64% |
| The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Southern Brave - Completed match? | 50% |
| The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Southern Brave - Who wins the toss? | 24% |
Market context
Trent Rockets travel to Edgbaston on 10 August 2026 to face Southern Brave in a group-stage fixture of The Hundred. The 64% implied probability for a Rockets victory reflects their stronger recent domestic form and squad depth, though Southern Brave have shown capacity to compete in T20 cricket's shortest format. The settlement window closes at 13:30 UTC on 17 August, allowing for any weather delays or rescheduling within the tournament window.
Historically, Trent Rockets have won three of their last five encounters against Southern Brave in The Hundred, establishing a marginal head-to-head advantage. However, Southern Brave's 2025 campaign showed improved consistency in the middle order, and they've retained key performers including James Vince and Quinton de Kock for the 2026 edition. Rockets' reliance on overseas talent—particularly in their bowling unit—has sometimes created selection volatility in compressed schedules, which traders should weigh against their proven ability to chase totals in low-scoring matches.
Key variables emerging before the fixture include confirmation of final squad availability following any international commitments in early August, and ground conditions at Edgbaston, which historically favour pace bowling. Recent injury updates to either side's opening batsmen or death-bowling specialists will shift the line materially. The Hundred's format—where momentum and form in preceding group matches directly influence team confidence—means results from Rockets' and Brave's matches in the days immediately before 10 August warrant close monitoring. Tournament scheduling announcements from the ECB typically arrive by late July.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $194K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Southern Brave. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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