Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
53% | 47% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
53% | 47% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Trent Rockets - Completed match? | 53% |
| The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Trent Rockets | 0% |
| The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Trent Rockets - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
MI London’s women face Trent Rockets at the Oval, and the market’s 0% implied price reflects a mismatch in both results and momentum rather than any settled head-to-head edge. Trent Rockets came into the fixture top of the table with five wins from six and a league-best net run rate of +1.605, while MI London were bottom-half and had managed only one win in six, with a negative net run rate that points to repeated under-performance in both innings.[2][3] The sides’ recent meeting also leaned the same way: Rockets won by nine wickets after restricting MI London to 121 for 5, with Kirstie Bates taking 3 for 13 and Sophia Sciver-Brunt finishing the chase, which is the kind of one-sided result traders usually treat as confirmation of a clear class gap.[1]
The historical framing is still not one-way, because these teams have traded wins in previous Hundred seasons and MI London have beaten Trent Rockets in several earlier meetings, including close games at the Oval and a higher-scoring win in 2023.[3] That matters because it shows the pairing can tighten when MI London’s top order lands, even if the broader form book now favours Rockets. Recent comparable results also show Trent Rockets have been strong but not untouchable: they were beaten by London Spirit in Nottingham after a strong start to the competition, so line-up balance and powerplay execution still move this market materially.[12][14]
The main trader catalysts are team news, the toss, and whether MI London can field a fuller all-round attack after a campaign in which they have relied heavily on isolated contributions from players such as Amelia Kerr and Hayley Matthews.[2] Trent Rockets have been built around Sophia Dunkley, Beth Mooney and Ashleigh Gardner, and their last few wins have come from both top-order runs and controlled bowling, so any late change to that core would matter more than usual.[2][7][14] Live information already available for the match showed Trent Rockets won the toss and chose to bowl, which is consistent with a side confident of defending or chasing from a position of strength in a short-format game where a quick collapse can still swing the result.[9]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $110K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Trent Rockets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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