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Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A

How the prediction market is pricing "Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5) 50% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5) 49% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 48% Volume: $80K Liquidity: $199K Closes: 9 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)49%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.547%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)44%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)44%
O/U 2.5 Games43%
Map 1 Winner37%
Map 2 Winner32%
Match Winner28%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A prediction market currently prices this outcome at 51% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 1 match between BIG and G2 in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A, initially scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will re…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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