Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
85% | 15% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
85% | 15% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 85% |
| Match Winner | 82% |
| Map 2 Winner | 70% |
| Map Handicap: ICE (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-3.5) vs GenOne (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-3.5) vs GenOne (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-6.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+6.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-6.5) vs GenOne (+6.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 48% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 37% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: inner circle esports vs genone (bo3) - res showdown europe playoffs stands at 85% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between Inner Circle Esports and GenOne in the RES Showdown Europe Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 11:00AM…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs GenOne (BO3)… on World Cup 2026 Favorites
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →