Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC København (-1.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Silkeborg IF O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC København O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC København O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC København O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Silkeborg IF 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC København 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC København 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 90% |
| FC København 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 90% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 10% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 10% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Silkeborg IF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 10% |
| Silkeborg IF 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 10% |
| FC København 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 10% |
| Silkeborg IF (-1.5) | 0% |
| Silkeborg IF (-2.5) | 0% |
| FC København (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Silkeborg IF O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Silkeborg IF O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Silkeborg IF 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Silkeborg IF host FC København in a Superliga meeting that has usually leaned towards the visitors, with head-to-head records across different databases showing København well ahead overall and a particularly one-sided recent trend in away and cup matches. ESPN notes København beat Silkeborg 7-0 in April 2026, while FotMob and SofaScore both show København leading the broader series by a wide margin, which is why a 0% YES price on an unspecified “more markets” market is not automatically absurd if the market is linked to a highly specific or hard-to-clear condition.[6][4][1]
The useful frame for traders is how much line-up and game-state information is still to come before kick-off. FotMob’s latest predicted line-up page listed Dominik Kotarski, Thomas Delaney, Mohamed Elyounoussi and Elias Achouri among København’s expected starters in a 3-4-3, with Silkeborg projected in a 4-3-2-1 built around Nicolai Larsen and Tonni Adamsen, but those are not official teamsheets and can move sharply if there are late changes.[4] The main catalysts are the confirmed XIs, any late injury or suspension announcements, and whether København rotate after a heavy schedule or stick with a first-choice front line; those are the details most likely to move peripheral “more markets” outcomes in the final hour before the 16:00 UTC settlement window closes.[4][7]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Silkeborg IF vs. FC København - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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