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Willem II Tilburg vs. NEC - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "Willem II Tilburg vs. NEC - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

NEC (-1.5) 100% NEC (-2.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $86K Liquidity: $592K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Willem II Tilburg vs. NEC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NEC (-1.5)100%
NEC (-2.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
O/U 4.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Willem II Tilburg O/U 0.5100%
NEC O/U 0.5100%
NEC O/U 1.5100%
NEC O/U 2.5100%
NEC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 2.5100%
Willem II Tilburg 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
NEC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
NEC 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Willem II Tilburg (-1.5)0%
Willem II Tilburg (-2.5)0%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Willem II Tilburg O/U 1.50%
Willem II Tilburg O/U 2.50%
Willem II Tilburg 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Willem II Tilburg 1st Half O/U 1.50%
NEC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Willem II Tilburg 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Willem II Tilburg travel to NEC Nijmegen on 15 August for an Eredivisie fixture that opens the 2024–25 season. The 0% implied probability on additional markets suggests either no secondary betting options have been priced yet, or the market structure itself remains incomplete ahead of settlement. This is typical for early-season Dutch league matches where ancillary markets—such as correct score, first goalscorer, or card counts—often materialise only after primary match odds stabilise.

Historically, Willem II and NEC occupy similar mid-table territory in Eredivisie standings, with neither club commanding consistent dominance in their head-to-head record. Willem II finished 2023–24 in 11th place; NEC ended 12th. Both clubs have undergone squad rotation during the summer window, making recent form less predictive than usual. Injuries or late departures to European competition would shift the tactical balance, but neither side qualified for continental play. The absence of clear favouritism in their fixture history means secondary market pricing will depend heavily on team news released in the 48 hours before kickoff.

Traders should monitor official squad announcements from both clubs, particularly confirmation of any summer signings or retained players. Dutch media outlets including Voetbal International and ESPN.nl typically publish lineup hints by Thursday evening ahead of Friday fixtures. Suspension records from the previous season carry minimal weight in August, but any pre-season injuries flagged during training camps could influence market depth. The settlement window closes at 14:30 GMT on match day, leaving a narrow window for late-breaking information to affect pricing on derivative markets.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Willem II Tilburg vs. NEC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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