Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Dan Ndoye: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Gustavo Puerta: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Gustavo Puerta: 2+ shots | 100% |
| Luis Díaz: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Luis Suárez: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Jhon Arias: 1+ shots | 99% |
| Gustavo Puerta: 1+ shots on target | 99% |
| Luis Díaz: 2+ shots | 86% |
| Dan Ndoye: 2+ shots | 80% |
| Luis Suárez: 2+ shots | 53% |
| Granit Xhaka: 2+ shots | 51% |
| Gustavo Puerta: 3+ shots | 51% |
| Dan Ndoye: 1+ shots on target | 51% |
| Gregor Kobel: 3+ saves | 51% |
| Gustavo Puerta: 1+ goals | 50% |
| Richard Ríos: 1+ goals | 50% |
| Daniel Muñoz: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Daniel Muñoz: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Davinson Sánchez: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Davinson Sánchez: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Davinson Sánchez: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Granit Xhaka: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Granit Xhaka: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Gustavo Puerta: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Gustavo Puerta: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Manuel Akanji: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Manuel Akanji: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Ruben Vargas: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Ruben Vargas: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Ruben Vargas: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Ruben Vargas: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Davinson Sánchez: 1+ assists | 50% |
| Djibril Sow: 1+ assists | 50% |
| Gustavo Puerta: 1+ assists | 50% |
| Richard Ríos: 1+ assists | 50% |
| Breel Embolo: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Breel Embolo: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Breel Embolo: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Dan Ndoye: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Dan Ndoye: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Daniel Muñoz: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Daniel Muñoz: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Davinson Sánchez: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Davinson Sánchez: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Denis Zakaria: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Granit Xhaka: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Granit Xhaka: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Gustavo Puerta: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Gustavo Puerta: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| James Rodríguez: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| James Rodríguez: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| James Rodríguez: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jefferson Lerma: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jefferson Lerma: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jhon Arias: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jhon Arias: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jhon Arias: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jhon Lucumí: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Johan Manzambi: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Johan Manzambi: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Johan Manzambi: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Johan Mojica: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Johan Mojica: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Luis Díaz: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Luis Díaz: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Luis Díaz: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Luis Díaz: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Luis Suárez: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Luis Suárez: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Luis Suárez: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Manuel Akanji: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nico Elvedi: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Remo Freuler: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ricardo Rodriguez: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ruben Vargas: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ruben Vargas: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ruben Vargas: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| David Ospina: 2+ saves | 50% |
| David Ospina: 3+ saves | 50% |
| David Ospina: 4+ saves | 50% |
| David Ospina: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Gregor Kobel: 2+ saves | 50% |
| Gregor Kobel: 4+ saves | 50% |
| Gregor Kobel: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Breel Embolo: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Breel Embolo: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Breel Embolo: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Breel Embolo: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Dan Ndoye: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Dan Ndoye: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Dan Ndoye: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Dan Ndoye: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Daniel Muñoz: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Daniel Muñoz: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Daniel Muñoz: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Davinson Sánchez: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Davinson Sánchez: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Davinson Sánchez: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Davinson Sánchez: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Djibril Sow: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Djibril Sow: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Djibril Sow: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Granit Xhaka: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Granit Xhaka: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Granit Xhaka: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Granit Xhaka: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Gustavo Puerta: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Gustavo Puerta: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Gustavo Puerta: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Gustavo Puerta: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| James Rodríguez: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| James Rodríguez: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| James Rodríguez: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| James Rodríguez: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jefferson Lerma: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jefferson Lerma: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jefferson Lerma: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jhon Arias: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jhon Arias: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jhon Arias: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jhon Arias: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Johan Manzambi: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Johan Manzambi: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Johan Manzambi: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Johan Manzambi: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Luis Díaz: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Luis Díaz: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Luis Díaz: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Luis Díaz: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Luis Suárez: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Luis Suárez: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Luis Suárez: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Luis Suárez: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Remo Freuler: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Remo Freuler: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Remo Freuler: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Remo Freuler: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Richard Ríos: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Richard Ríos: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Richard Ríos: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Richard Ríos: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ruben Vargas: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ruben Vargas: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ruben Vargas: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ruben Vargas: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Granit Xhaka: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Manuel Akanji: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Fabian Rieder: 1+ assists | 50% |
| Denis Zakaria: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Fabian Rieder: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Fabian Rieder: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Fabian Rieder: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Fabian Rieder: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jhon Lucumí: 1+ shots | 49% |
| Jhon Lucumí: 2+ shots | 49% |
| Johan Mojica: 1+ shots | 49% |
| Nico Elvedi: 1+ shots | 49% |
| Nico Elvedi: 2+ shots | 49% |
| Remo Freuler: 1+ shots | 49% |
| Remo Freuler: 2+ shots | 49% |
| Ruben Vargas: 1+ shots | 49% |
| Dan Ndoye: 1+ assists | 49% |
| Jhon Arias: 1+ assists | 49% |
| Dan Ndoye: 3+ shots | 48% |
| Dan Ndoye: 4+ shots | 48% |
| Dan Ndoye: 5+ shots | 48% |
| Jefferson Lerma: 1+ shots | 48% |
| Johan Mojica: 2+ shots | 48% |
| Johan Mojica: 3+ shots | 48% |
| Remo Freuler: 3+ shots | 48% |
| Fabian Rieder: 1+ goals | 47% |
| Daniel Muñoz: 1+ shots | 33% |
| Breel Embolo: 1+ shots | 25% |
| Jhon Arias: 2+ shots | 25% |
| Luis Díaz: 4+ shots | 25% |
| Daniel Muñoz: 4+ goals + assists | 23% |
| Djibril Sow: 3+ goals + assists | 23% |
| Jefferson Lerma: 4+ goals + assists | 23% |
| James Rodríguez: 2+ shots | 21% |
| Luis Suárez: 3+ shots | 21% |
| Denis Zakaria: 1+ shots | 20% |
| James Rodríguez: 1+ shots | 20% |
| Luis Díaz: 3+ shots | 20% |
| Luis Díaz: 5+ shots | 20% |
| Ricardo Rodriguez: 1+ shots | 20% |
| Daniel Muñoz: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Fabian Rieder: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Granit Xhaka: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Gustavo Puerta: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Jhon Córdoba: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Juan Fernando Quintero: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Richard Ríos: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Daniel Muñoz: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Davinson Sánchez: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Djibril Sow: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Granit Xhaka: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Gustavo Puerta: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Remo Freuler: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Richard Ríos: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Ruben Vargas: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Fabian Rieder: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Denis Zakaria: 2+ shots | 11% |
| Denis Zakaria: 3+ shots | 11% |
| Jefferson Lerma: 2+ shots | 11% |
| Jefferson Lerma: 3+ shots | 11% |
| Jefferson Lerma: 4+ shots | 11% |
| Breel Embolo: 2+ shots | 10% |
| Breel Embolo: 3+ shots | 10% |
| Breel Embolo: 4+ shots | 10% |
| Breel Embolo: 5+ shots | 10% |
| James Rodríguez: 3+ shots | 10% |
| James Rodríguez: 4+ shots | 10% |
| James Rodríguez: 5+ shots | 10% |
| Jhon Arias: 3+ shots | 10% |
| Jhon Arias: 4+ shots | 10% |
| Jhon Arias: 5+ shots | 10% |
| Luis Suárez: 4+ shots | 10% |
| Ricardo Rodriguez: 2+ shots | 9% |
| Juan Fernando Quintero: 2+ goals | 8% |
| Luis Suárez: 5+ shots | 7% |
| Jhon Córdoba: 2+ goals | 5% |
| Ruben Vargas: 1+ goals | 5% |
| Luis Díaz: 1+ assists | 5% |
| Juan Fernando Quintero: 1+ goals | 4% |
| Daniel Muñoz: 1+ assists | 4% |
| Granit Xhaka: 1+ assists | 4% |
| Remo Freuler: 1+ assists | 4% |
| Ruben Vargas: 1+ assists | 4% |
| Granit Xhaka: 1+ goals | 3% |
| Daniel Muñoz: 1+ goals | 2% |
| Jhon Córdoba: 1+ goals | 2% |
| Ruben Vargas: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Luis Díaz: 2+ assists | 2% |
| Dan Ndoye: 1+ goals | 1% |
| Dan Ndoye: 2+ goals | 1% |
| Jefferson Lerma: 2+ goals | 1% |
| Luis Díaz: 1+ goals | 1% |
| Luis Díaz: 2+ goals | 1% |
| Luis Díaz: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Dan Ndoye: 2+ assists | 1% |
| James Rodríguez: 1+ assists | 1% |
| Jefferson Lerma: 1+ assists | 1% |
| Jefferson Lerma: 2+ assists | 1% |
| Luis Suárez: 1+ assists | 1% |
| Luis Suárez: 2+ assists | 1% |
| Breel Embolo: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Breel Embolo: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Breel Embolo: 3+ goals | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 1+ goals | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Jefferson Lerma: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Jhon Arias: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Jhon Arias: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Luis Suárez: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Luis Suárez: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Luis Suárez: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Michel Aebischer: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Michel Aebischer: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Breel Embolo: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Breel Embolo: 2+ assists | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Jhon Arias: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 2+ assists | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 3+ goals | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Switzerland vs. Colombia - Player Props. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Switzerland and Colombia, scheduled for July 7 at 4:00 PM ET.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Switzerland vs. Colombia - Player Props. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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