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United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 94% United States O/U 0.5 90% Team to Advance 83% O/U 1.5 78% Volume: $339K Liquidity: $2.9M Closes: 2 Jul 2026
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United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.594%
United States O/U 0.590%
Team to Advance83%
O/U 1.578%
2nd Half O/U 0.578%
1st Half O/U 0.572%
United States 2nd Half O/U 0.570%
United States O/U 1.564%
United States 1st Half O/U 0.562%
O/U 2.555%
Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 0.552%
Both Teams to Score46%
2nd Half O/U 1.546%
United States (-1.5)45%
1st Half O/U 1.537%
United States O/U 2.536%
United States 2nd Half O/U 1.534%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 0.533%
O/U 3.532%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.526%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half25%
United States (-2.5)24%
Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?24%
United States 1st Half O/U 1.523%
Will the Match Go to Extra Time?22%
2nd Half O/U 2.521%
Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 1.517%
O/U 4.516%
Both Teams to Score in First Half16%
1st Half O/U 2.513%
United States (-3.5)11%
O/U 5.57%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 1.57%
Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 2.54%
United States (-4.5)4%
United States (-5.5)4%
O/U 6.53%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 1.53%
Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)2%
Bosnia and Herzegovina (-3.5)1%
O/U 7.51%
O/U 8.51%
Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)0%
Bosnia and Herzegovina (-4.5)0%
Bosnia and Herzegovina (-5.5)0%

Market context

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - More Markets — current market-implied probability: 94%. More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 1 at 8:00 PM ET.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
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Trade United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - More Markets on World Cup 2026 Favorites

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Related Topics

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