Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Draw | 100% |
| CS Herediano | 0% |
| Puntarenas FC | 0% |
Market context
CS Herediano’s meeting with Puntarenas FC is priced by the market as a complete longshot for the away side, but the historical set-up does not support a 0% view. Herediano has won 13 of the 22 head-to-heads listed by FootyStats, against three Puntarenas wins, while other FootyStats language versions show Herediano ahead in 24 meetings as well.[3][4] That kind of one-sided record usually keeps the stronger side favoured, yet it also leaves room for a non-zero upset probability because recent pricing appears less extreme: Oddspedia’s live market snapshot had Herediano around 47.62% to win, with Puntarenas at 28.21%.[5]
The key traders’ watchpoints are team news and the final pre-match context rather than the historical record. If Herediano rotates heavily, or if Puntarenas arrive with a settled XI and a defensive shape that has recently produced low-scoring games, that would be the most direct reason for the crowd-implied 0% to be challenged.[6] The most recent match listing available in the search results shows these sides were also paired in January 2026, when ESPN recorded Herediano as the away side in a 0-0-to-2-2 style live listing that ended 0-2, underlining that a strong head-to-head does not guarantee a routine margin every time.[7]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $59K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for CS Herediano vs. Puntarenas FC. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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