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M15 Szczawno: Pawel Juszczak vs John Hallquist Lithen

How the prediction market is pricing "M15 Szczawno: Pawel Juszczak vs John Hallquist Lithen" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Completed Match 100% M15 Szczawno: Pawel Juszczak vs John Hallquist Lithen Set Handicap +/-1.5 100% M15 Szczawno: Pawel Juszczak vs John Hallquist Lithen 0% M15 Szczawno: Pawel Juszczak vs John Hallquist Lithen Set 1 Winner 0% Volume: $115K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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M15 Szczawno: Pawel Juszczak vs John Hallquist Lithen

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
M15 Szczawno: Pawel Juszczak vs John Hallquist Lithen Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
M15 Szczawno: Pawel Juszczak vs John Hallquist Lithen0%
M15 Szczawno: Pawel Juszczak vs John Hallquist Lithen Set 1 Winner0%
M15 Szczawno: Pawel Juszczak vs John Hallquist Lithen Set 2 Winner0%
M15 Szczawno: Pawel Juszczak vs John Hallquist Lithen Set 1 O/U 8.50%
M15 Szczawno: Pawel Juszczak vs John Hallquist Lithen Set 2 O/U 8.50%
M15 Szczawno: Pawel Juszczak vs John Hallquist Lithen Set Handicap +/-1.50%
M15 Szczawno: Pawel Juszczak vs John Hallquist Lithen Match O/U 21.50%
M15 Szczawno: Pawel Juszczak vs John Hallquist Lithen Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
M15 Szczawno: Pawel Juszczak vs John Hallquist Lithen Set 1 O/U 9.50%
M15 Szczawno: Pawel Juszczak vs John Hallquist Lithen Set 2 O/U 9.50%
M15 Szczawno: Pawel Juszczak vs John Hallquist Lithen Match O/U 22.50%
M15 Szczawno: Pawel Juszczak vs John Hallquist Lithen Set 1 O/U 10.50%
M15 Szczawno: Pawel Juszczak vs John Hallquist Lithen Match O/U 23.50%
M15 Szczawno: Pawel Juszczak vs John Hallquist Lithen Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to m15 szczawno: pawel juszczak vs john hallquist lithen. This market refers to the tennis match between Pawel Juszczak and John Hallquist Lithen in the M15 Szczawno, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for M15 Szczawno: Pawel Juszczak vs John Hallquist Lithen. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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