Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Daejeon Hana Citizen FC | 100% |
| FC Anyang | 0% |
| Draw | 0% |
Market context
FC Anyang meet Daejeon Hana Citizen in the K League 1 with the market currently implying a 0% chance of **YES**, which is only readable against a fixture that has usually been tighter than a clean wipeout. Across the published head-to-head samples, Daejeon hold the edge, but the balance is not one-sided: FotMob lists 13 Daejeon wins, 9 Anyang wins and 14 draws, while AiScore’s broader record since 2014 shows 13 Daejeon wins, 8 Anyang wins and 12 draws from 33 matches.[1][2] The latest comparable league meeting finished 1-1, and the recent sequence also includes a 3-2 Anyang win and another 2-1 Daejeon win, which is the kind of mixed run that usually keeps prices sensitive to team news rather than history alone.[15][11]
For traders, the main catalysts are the confirmed line-ups, late injury disclosures and any suspension news that changes the shape of either side’s midfield or back line. The published form snapshots are not dramatic: 365Scores shows Anyang on 21 matches with a 7-9-5 record and Daejeon on 5-8-8, while WinFulltime’s recent-match sample has Anyang slightly stronger across both scoring and concession numbers than Daejeon.[3][7] That means the market is likely to move more on absences and selection than on raw table position, especially if either side rotates after a congested schedule or protects key starters late in the week. The fixture pages on Sofascore, Flashscore and Statshub should be watched for final team sheets and any last-minute changes before kick-off.[4][9][12]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $83K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for FC Anyang vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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