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Nashville SC vs. Club León FC - Exact Score

How the prediction market is pricing "Nashville SC vs. Club León FC - Exact Score" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Nashville SC 0 - 1 Club León FC 100% Nashville SC 0 - 0 Club León FC 0% Nashville SC 1 - 0 Club León FC 0% Nashville SC 0 - 2 Club León FC 0% Volume: $59K Closes: 6 Aug 2026
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Nashville SC vs. Club León FC - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Nashville SC 0 - 1 Club León FC100%
Nashville SC 0 - 0 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 1 - 0 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 0 - 2 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 1 - 1 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 2 - 0 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 0 - 3 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 1 - 2 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 2 - 1 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 3 - 0 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 1 - 3 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 2 - 2 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 3 - 1 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 2 - 3 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 3 - 2 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 3 - 3 Club León FC0%
Any Other Score0%

Market context

Nashville SC’s meeting with Club León FC is a classic exact-score market because the historical and form data point to a low-scoring, fine-margin game rather than a runaway. Nashville came in with three wins, one draw and one loss across its previous five matches in the previews, including a 2-2 draw at D.C. United and three one-goal wins before that, while León had won just one of its last five and had already dropped points in Liga MX play.[2][12] The only prior head-to-head listed in the available previews was Nashville’s 2-1 win over León in the 2023 Leagues Cup group stage, which is useful mainly as a reminder that the matchup has not historically produced a lopsided scoreline.[2][13]

For traders, the key catalysts are team news, rotation and whether either side can replicate its recent defensive shape. León arrived after a 1-0 league win over Pachuca, but the market is likely to move most on any late changes to the starting XI, especially if either club rests regulars in a congested summer schedule.[2][12] Nashville’s own club preview stressed that this was its fifth match of the season against Mexican opposition, a useful dependency because those games have tended to be tighter and more tactical than domestic MLS fixtures.[13] Live team sheets and any late injury or suspension updates are the main swing factors for whether the score lands inside a narrow band such as 1-0, 1-1 or 2-1, or drifts into “Any Other Score”.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Nashville SC vs. Club León FC - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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