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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

How the prediction market is pricing "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Match Winner 68% Game 1 Winner 63% Game 2 Winner 63% First Blood in Game 2? 56% Volume: $60K Liquidity: $178K Closes: 23 Aug 2026
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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner68%
Game 1 Winner63%
Game 2 Winner63%
First Blood in Game 2?56%
First Blood in Game 1?56%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor54%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors53%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?48%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)40%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

Market consensus: 68% chance of lol: bilibili gaming vs anyone's legend (bo3) - lpl group ascend. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between Bilibili Gaming and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will re…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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