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LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO3) - NLC Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO3) - NLC Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 62% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 62% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 61% Any Player Quadra Kill 53% Volume: $66K Liquidity: $44K Closes: 1 Sept 2026
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LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO3) - NLC Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
62% 38% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
62% 38% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon62%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon62%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon61%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games36%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Game 2 Winner27%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Game 1 Winner26%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors26%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Match Winner22%

Market context

The LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO3) - NLC Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 62% YES. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Deer Gaming and The Ruddy Sack in the NLC Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO3) - NLC Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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