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LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

How the prediction market is pricing "LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 74% First Blood in Game 2? 72% First Blood in Game 1? 72% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 71% Volume: $130K Liquidity: $510K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?74%
First Blood in Game 2?72%
First Blood in Game 1?72%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?71%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?66%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?52%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon46%
O/U 2.5 Games42%
Game 2 Winner32%
Game 1 Winner31%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Quadra Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Quadra Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Match Winner24%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: dn soopers vs bnk fearx (bo3) - lck round 3-4 rise group stands at 74% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between DN SOOPers and BNK FEARX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for July 30 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "DN…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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