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LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage

"LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Match Winner 100% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 50% Any Player Quadra Kill 50% Any Player Penta Kill 50% Volume: $633K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Odd/Even Total Kills0%

Market context

Nongshim Red Force has already secured a 1-0 victory over HANJIN BRION in this KeSPA Cup 2026 Group Stage BO1 match, which concluded at 06:00 Asia time on 20 July [1][2]. The result confirms the market’s 100% YES probability for Nongshim, as the match was played and completed without cancellation, tie, or delay beyond the settlement window [1].

Historically, Nongshim holds a dominant head-to-head record with 16 wins to HANJIN’s 7 across 23 meetings, including a 92% overall winrate [4]. However, HANJIN recently upset Nongshim 2-0 in May 2026, showing they can win when preparation aligns [3][4]. Both teams are unranked in current Strafe LoL World Rankings, with Nongshim at #31 and HANJIN at #58, reflecting similar recent struggles—Nongshim won just 1 of their last 5 matches, while HANJIN won none [4][5].

Traders should monitor official post-match confirmations on GosuGamers and Strafe to ensure no disqualifications or forfeits alter the outcome [1][4]. Since the match is already completed and Nongshim won, the only remaining risk is a rare administrative reversal, which has not occurred in similar KeSPA Cup cases. No new line-up changes or suspensions are expected, as both teams used their full starter lineups including Scout (Nongshim) and Teddy (HANJIN) [2][3].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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