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LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Football snapshot for "LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% First Blood in Game 2? 100% Volume: $362K Liquidity: $560K Closes: 27 Jul 2026
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LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
First Blood in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 2?100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Match Winner9%
First Blood in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?0%
Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)0%

Market context

RED Canids’ BO3 with Vivo Keyd Stars is a rematch with a clear recent edge to RED: they beat Keyd 2-0 on 11 June 2026, and the broader head-to-head has leaned slightly towards RED in the latest recorded meetings even though the long-run series remains close.[2][7][10] That matters because this pairing has produced both clean sweeps and tighter series across CBLOL/LTA play, so a 0% crowd price is hard to square with the recent match record and the fact that RED have already shown they can close this matchup in straight games.[3][8]

For traders, the main catalysts are roster confirmation, draft-side information and any schedule change, rather than injury news. Public match listings currently show both teams on stable starters, with no reported lineup shake-up attached to this fixture, and the market is set to resolve only if the match is played and completed within the settlement window.[2][9][12] If the series slips beyond seven days or is abandoned, the market goes 50-50 instead of paying a side, so any official CBLOL notice on postponement, rescheduling or match abandonment is more material here than normal late-team-news chatter.[12]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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