🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogTrade this market →

New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays

How the prediction market is pricing "New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 79% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 64% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 53% NRFI 51% Volume: $435K Liquidity: $944K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
Open live market →
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.579%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.564%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.553%
NRFI51%
O/U 8.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.548%
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays47%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.540%
Spread -1.537%
Spread -1.536%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.532%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.531%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.525%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.514%
Extra Innings7%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 79% YES probability for New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays. In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for June 29 at 7:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This mark…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 79% for "New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 79% Other 21%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $435K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays on World Cup 2026 Favorites

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Sports