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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds

How the prediction market is pricing "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 100% Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds 88% Spread -1.5 85% Spread -3.5 63% Volume: $767K Liquidity: $333K Closes: 14 Jul 2026
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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds88%
Spread -1.585%
Spread -3.563%
O/U 6.554%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.553%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.552%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.552%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.551%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.550%
Extra Innings50%
O/U 7.550%
O/U 8.549%
O/U 9.531%
NRFI0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, philadelphia phillies vs. cincinnati reds stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for July 7 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Phila…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 100% for "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $767K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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