Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets are set to face off in an MLB game on 26 June at 7:10PM ET, with the market currently implying a 100% chance that the Phillies will win. This game is part of a season where the Phillies have dominated, boasting a 45-36 record compared to the Mets’ 34-47, and they have already secured a commanding 11-1 lead over the Mets in their recent head-to-head matchups[1][2].

Historically, such a stark disparity in form and recent results has almost always translated into a decisive victory for the stronger side, particularly when the underperforming team is struggling at home, as the Mets are with an 18-22 home record[1]. The 11-1 scoreline from their last encounter on 20 June, where the Mets were "embarrassed on national TV," reinforces the pattern that the Phillies’ superior line-up and momentum are overwhelming factors in this fixture[2][8].

Traders should monitor any late announcements regarding player availability, especially given the Phillies’ recent injury news: right-hander Brad Keller was placed on the 15-day injured list with right forearm tendinitis, and centre-fielder J. Rojas is out due to an elbow injury[3][4]. While Keller’s absence is a concern, the Phillies’ depth and Harper-Schwarber-led offence have consistently neutralised such setbacks, as seen in their 21 June victory powered by ace Zack Wheeler[8]. The settlement window ends on 3 July 2026, so any postponement will extend the market until the game is completed, but a cancellation or tie would resolve it 50-50.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.