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FC Cincinnati vs. San Jose Earthquakes - More Markets

"FC Cincinnati vs. San Jose Earthquakes - More Markets" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

FC Cincinnati (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $143K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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FC Cincinnati vs. San Jose Earthquakes - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
FC Cincinnati (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
O/U 4.5100%
O/U 5.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
FC Cincinnati O/U 0.5100%
FC Cincinnati O/U 1.5100%
FC Cincinnati O/U 2.5100%
San Jose Earthquakes O/U 0.5100%
San Jose Earthquakes O/U 1.5100%
FC Cincinnati 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
San Jose Earthquakes 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 2.5100%
FC Cincinnati 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
FC Cincinnati 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
San Jose Earthquakes 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)0%
FC Cincinnati (-2.5)0%
San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)0%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
San Jose Earthquakes O/U 2.50%
FC Cincinnati 1st Half O/U 1.50%
San Jose Earthquakes 1st Half O/U 1.50%
San Jose Earthquakes 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

FC Cincinnati hosted the San Jose Earthquakes at TQL Stadium on 1 August in an MLS meeting that was framed as a chance for Cincinnati to bounce back after the derby loss to Columbus. FC Cincinnati’s recent edge in this fixture matters: they beat San Jose 4-2 away in 2024 and 6-0 at home in 2022, and head-to-head data in the available results shows Cincinnati have won two of the last three meetings, with no draws.[1][18][17]

That history explains why a 100% **YES** price for the broader “more markets” basket can be read as a reflection of a fixture that has repeatedly produced goals and multi-event outcomes, rather than a pure view on one result line.[3][17] Both teams were described as carrying patchy recent form into the game, with Cincinnati coming off a league defeat to Columbus and San Jose arriving after a run that included just one win in seven league matches, while preview pieces also pointed to neither side having kept many clean sheets.[2][3]

The main trader watchpoints were late team-news and any adjustment to attacking personnel, because the published previews revolved around whether Cincinnati’s first-choice creators and finishers would start after the derby setback, and whether San Jose’s selection could restore more punch on the road.[7][16] The official match preview confirmed the 7:30 p.m. ET kick-off and Apple TV coverage, and a San Jose preview highlighted this as a rare road trip to TQL Stadium, which can matter if any travel or rotation notes surface close to kick-off.[1][4]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for FC Cincinnati vs. San Jose Earthquakes - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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