🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogTrade this market →

Minnesota United FC vs. San Diego FC - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "Minnesota United FC vs. San Diego FC - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Both Teams to Score 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $72K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
Open live market →
Minnesota United FC vs. San Diego FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Minnesota United FC O/U 0.5100%
San Diego FC O/U 0.5100%
Minnesota United FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
San Diego FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Minnesota United FC (-1.5)0%
San Diego FC (-1.5)0%
Minnesota United FC (-2.5)0%
San Diego FC (-2.5)0%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Minnesota United FC O/U 1.50%
Minnesota United FC O/U 2.50%
San Diego FC O/U 1.50%
San Diego FC O/U 2.50%
Minnesota United FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
San Diego FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
San Diego FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Minnesota United FC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Minnesota United FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
San Diego FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Minnesota United’s 1-1 draw with San Diego FC on 1 August leaves the “more markets” set on a narrow knife-edge rather than a dead 0% shot, because the matchup has already produced both tight, low-scoring and open, high-scoring versions in recent seasons. The head-to-head is split by game state more than by venue: San Diego won 4-2 at Minnesota in June 2025, Minnesota answered with a 3-1 league win in September 2025, and San Diego then edged the Loons 1-0 in the 2025 Western Conference semi-finals before Minnesota won 2-1 in San Diego in April 2026. That pattern supports a market that can flip quickly on team news, especially with both clubs capable of winning possession battles and turning the same fixture into different game scripts.[1][2][7][9][11]

For traders, the main catalysts are the usual late lineup confirmations: availability of creators and finishers, any late defensive absences, and whether either side rotates after a crowded run-in. Minnesota went into the match with reported injuries to Nico Romero and doubts over Nectar Triantis, while Carlos Harvey was also listed as sidelined in AP’s pre-match injury notes; San Diego’s recent team news has centred more on squad depth and managing a strong attacking core around Anders Dreyer and Hirving Lozano.[3][6] The line will move most if either club confirms a weakened back line or if one of the key attacking names is limited, because San Diego’s ball-dominant profile and Minnesota’s relatively modest recent scoring output have already pointed to a fixture where one marginal team-sheet change can alter the full slate of “more markets”.[3][6]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Minnesota United FC vs. San Diego FC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

Trade Minnesota United FC vs. San Diego FC - More Markets on World Cup 2026 Favorites

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Sports