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Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 75% Nashville SC O/U 0.5 60% Both Teams to Score in Second Half 51% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 50% Volume: $146K Liquidity: $805K Closes: 18 Jul 2026
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Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.575%
Nashville SC O/U 0.560%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half51%
2nd Half O/U 0.550%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Nashville SC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Nashville SC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Atlanta United FC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Atlanta United FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
O/U 1.539%
Atlanta United FC O/U 0.539%
Both Teams to Score23%
Nashville SC O/U 1.521%
O/U 2.515%
Nashville SC (-1.5)14%
Atlanta United FC O/U 1.58%
Nashville SC O/U 2.56%
Atlanta United FC (-1.5)5%
Nashville SC (-2.5)4%
O/U 3.54%
Atlanta United FC (-2.5)1%
O/U 4.51%
O/U 5.51%
1st Half O/U 2.51%
Atlanta United FC O/U 2.51%
Nashville SC 1st Half O/U 0.51%
Nashville SC 1st Half O/U 1.51%
Atlanta United FC 1st Half O/U 0.51%
Atlanta United FC 1st Half O/U 1.51%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Nashville SC and Atlanta United FC face off in a July 17 MLS fixture at 8:00 PM ET, with the market pricing a specific “more markets” outcome at 19% YES. Historical data shows Nashville as clear favourites, holding a 1.40 win price and a recent 2-0 victory over Atlanta in their April 2026 Southern Showdown, where counter-attack goals sealed the win [1][4]. The model projecting a 2-0 Nashville win assigns just 14.3% probability to that exact scoreline, suggesting the 19% market implied probability for the broader “more markets” outcome is slightly elevated compared to the most likely single scoreline [2]. This gap implies the market may be pricing in additional volatility or secondary outcomes beyond the primary win scenario.

Traders should monitor final line-up announcements for both sides, particularly any late injuries or suspensions that could disrupt Nashville’s counter-attacking rhythm or Atlanta’s defensive structure. Recent form shows Atlanta struggling against Nashville’s pace, having lost their last two encounters 0-2 and 0-2 [3][4]. Any shift in starting XI, especially the absence of key midfielders or forwards, could significantly alter the probability of extra markets triggering. With settlement ending just after the match, real-time updates on team news from official club sources or trusted MLS analysts will be critical catalysts for price movement.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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