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Cavaliers vs. 76ers

How the prediction market is pricing "Cavaliers vs. 76ers" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 221.5 79% O/U 224.5 74% O/U 227.5 69% O/U 230.5 62% Volume: $95K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 22 Oct 2026
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Cavaliers vs. 76ers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 221.579%
O/U 224.574%
O/U 227.569%
O/U 230.562%
O/U 232.557%
Spread -1.556%
O/U 233.555%
Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 5.555%
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)54%
O/U 234.553%
Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.553%
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.553%
1H Spread -0.553%
O/U 235.552%
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 19.552%
Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.551%
Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 3.551%
Team to Score First50%
Odd/Even Score50%
Spread -3.550%
1H O/U 114.550%
1H Moneyline50%
1H Spread -1.550%
LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.549%
Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 236.548%
Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 5.547%
Spread -4.546%
O/U 237.546%
O/U 238.544%
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.544%
Spread -5.543%
Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.543%
Cavaliers vs. 76ers42%
Spread -6.540%
O/U 240.540%
Spread -1.538%
Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 4.538%
O/U 243.534%
Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 22.533%
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.533%
VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 4.533%
Spread -8.532%
Joel Embiid: Points O/U 22.532%
VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 2.532%
VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 10.531%
Spread -4.530%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.530%
LeBron James: Points O/U 15.530%
O/U 246.528%
Spread -11.525%
Spread -7.523%
O/U 249.523%
Spread -14.518%
Spread -10.516%
Spread -17.513%

Market context

Market consensus: 79% chance of cavaliers vs. 76ers. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 22 at 7:00PM ET: If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers".…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 221.5 at 79% for "Cavaliers vs. 76ers".

O/U 221.5 79% Other 21%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $95K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Cavaliers vs. 76ers. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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Related Topics

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