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Patriots vs. Seahawks

How the prediction market is pricing "Patriots vs. Seahawks" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 24.5 93% O/U 26.5 93% O/U 28.5 89% O/U 30.5 87% Volume: $120K Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 10 Sept 2026
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Patriots vs. Seahawks

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 93% 7% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 93% 7% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 24.593%
O/U 26.593%
O/U 28.589%
O/U 30.587%
O/U 32.583%
O/U 34.578%
4Q O/U 6.576%
2H O/U 15.575%
3Q O/U 3.575%
O/U 36.574%
Patriots O/U 14.574%
2Q O/U 7.573%
Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q73%
4Q Spread -1.572%
Seahawks O/U 18.571%
2H O/U 18.569%
O/U 38.567%
3Q O/U 6.567%
Patriots 2H O/U 7.567%
Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q67%
Seahawks 2H O/U 10.565%
O/U 40.563%
Patriots 1H O/U 7.562%
Patriots O/U 17.561%
O/U 41.560%
Spread -1.559%
Seahawks O/U 21.559%
2H O/U 21.557%
Patriots 2H O/U 9.557%
Spread -2.556%
O/U 42.556%
2H Spread -0.556%
Seahawks 1H O/U 10.556%
Seahawks Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.556%
2Q O/U 10.555%
O/U 43.554%
Seahawks 2H O/U 12.554%
2H Spread -1.553%
Patriots 1H O/U 9.553%
1H Spread -1.553%
Patriots O/U 20.551%
1H Spread -2.551%
O/U 44.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
1Q O/U 2.550%
1Q O/U 5.550%
1Q O/U 8.550%
1Q O/U 11.550%
2Q Spread -0.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
2Q O/U 16.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q O/U 9.550%
3Q O/U 12.550%
3Q O/U 15.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q O/U 9.550%
4Q O/U 12.550%
4Q O/U 15.550%
4Q O/U 18.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
1Q Spread -4.550%
2Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
Patriots Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Seahawks Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Patriots vs. Seahawks: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Safety?50%
Team to Record Longest FG50%
Seahawks 1H O/U 12.549%
2H Spread -2.548%
1H O/U 22.548%
Spread -3.547%
2H O/U 24.547%
2Q Spread -2.547%
2Q O/U 13.547%
1Q Moneyline46%
Patriots 2H O/U 11.546%
1Q Spread -0.545%
2H Spread -3.545%
Spread -4.544%
O/U 46.544%
1Q Spread -2.544%
1H O/U 23.543%
4Q Spread -2.543%
Seahawks 2H O/U 14.543%
Seahawks O/U 24.542%
3Q Spread -2.542%
2H Spread -4.542%
1H Moneyline42%
Spread -6.541%
O/U 47.541%
2H Moneyline41%
Patriots Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.540%
Patriots vs. Seahawks38%
O/U 48.538%
2Q Spread -3.538%
4Q Spread -3.537%
Patriots O/U 23.536%
2H O/U 27.536%
Patriots 1H O/U 11.536%
Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime Touchdown36%
A.J. Brown: Anytime Touchdown36%
Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q36%
2Q O/U 19.535%
Seahawks 1H O/U 14.535%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdown35%
Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q35%
Seahawks O/U 27.534%
1Q Spread -3.534%
3Q Spread -3.534%
O/U 50.532%
O/U 54.532%
Patriots O/U 26.530%
Seahawks O/U 30.529%
O/U 58.528%
Exact Margin: Seahawks by 7-1327%
O/U 60.525%
Exact Margin: Seahawks by 14-2024%
Exact Margin: Seahawks by 21+24%
Patriots vs. Seahawks: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.524%
O/U 52.523%
4Q Spread -4.523%
Exact Margin: Patriots by 7-1223%
Jadarian Price: Anytime Touchdown23%
Exact Margin: Patriots by 13-1821%
George Holani: Anytime Touchdown20%
Exact Margin: Patriots by 19-2419%
Exact Margin: Seahawks by 1-619%
O/U 56.518%
Exact Margin: Patriots by 25+18%
Exact Margin: Patriots by 1-616%
Cooper Kupp: Anytime Touchdown16%
AJ Barner: Anytime Touchdown15%
Rashid Shaheed: Anytime Touchdown14%
Hunter Henry: Anytime Touchdown14%
1H O/U 31.514%
O/U 62.510%
O/U 64.59%
1Q O/U 14.59%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 2+ TD9%
Jadarian Price 2+ TD8%
TreVeyon Henderson: Anytime Touchdown7%
Rhamondre Stevenson 2+ TD6%
A.J. Brown 2+ TD6%
Cooper Kupp 2+ TD5%
George Holani 2+ TD5%
Rashid Shaheed 2+ TD3%
AJ Barner 2+ TD3%
Romeo Doubs 2+ TD3%
Exact Margin: Tie2%
TreVeyon Henderson 2+ TD2%

Market context

Market consensus: 93% chance of patriots vs. seahawks. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 9 at 8:20PM ET: If Patriots wins, the market will resolve to "Patriots". If Seahawks wins, the market will resolve to "Seahawks". …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 24.5 at 93% for "Patriots vs. Seahawks".

O/U 24.5 93% Other 7%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $120K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Patriots vs. Seahawks. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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