North America Regional Qualifier: Qualify to The International

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the Dota 2 North America Regional Qualifier for The International 2026, a double-elimination tournament featuring four teams running from 24 to 26 June 2026, where the winner secures a spot at the global finals[2]. The current crowd-implied probability of 0% for qualification suggests the market perceives a near-certain failure for the North American entrant, likely due to the region’s historical inability to convert regional slots into International appearances despite strong domestic talent.

Historically, North American teams have frequently underperformed in regional qualifiers when facing top-tier international squads, with only one team from the region qualifying via a regional slot in the past five years of The International[3][8]. Comparable cases include the 2024 and 2025 qualifiers, where North American entrants lost early in double-elimination brackets despite high pre-tournament odds, reinforcing a pattern of early exits that traders should treat as a baseline expectation rather than an anomaly.

Traders must monitor the official line-up announcements for the four participating teams, as any late injury, suspension, or roster change could drastically alter the outcome[1]. Key catalysts include the release of the final Group Stage participant list before 15 August 2026, which determines market resolution to “Other” if unpublished[2]. Recent news from GosuGamers confirms the qualifier schedule and team slots, but no major roster updates have been reported yet, leaving the field open for volatility if unexpected changes emerge[4].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.