Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Club Alianza Lima O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Club Alianza Lima O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| CS Huancayo O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Club Alianza Lima 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| CS Huancayo 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Club Alianza Lima 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Club Alianza Lima (-1.5) | 0% |
| CS Huancayo (-1.5) | 0% |
| Club Alianza Lima (-2.5) | 0% |
| CS Huancayo (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Club Alianza Lima O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| CS Huancayo O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| CS Huancayo O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Club Alianza Lima 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| CS Huancayo 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Club Alianza Lima 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| CS Huancayo 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| CS Huancayo 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Alianza Lima secured a 2-1 victory over CS Huancayo in their Peru Liga 1 debut on 19 July 2026, with Alan Cantero’s late free-kick sealing the win for Pablo Gued’s side [2][5]. This result mirrors their 30 January 2026 encounter, where Alianza Lima also won 2-1 away at Huancayo, confirming a consistent head-to-head dominance in recent fixtures [3]. The 0% YES probability for additional markets likely reflects the market’s expectation that the game’s key outcomes—such as the winner and total goals—have already been resolved by this decisive result, leaving little room for volatility in secondary propositions.
Traders should monitor official line-up confirmations for the next Liga 1 match, as injuries or suspensions emerging from this fixture could shift odds for future games involving either club. While no specific injury reports were published immediately post-match, the physical intensity of Cantero’s late winner and the overall contest suggests potential fatigue risks for key players [5]. Additionally, any disciplinary actions from the referee’s report—such as yellow cards accumulating toward suspensions—could impact squad availability and, by extension, the pricing of related markets in upcoming rounds.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Club Alianza Lima vs. CS Huancayo - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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