🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogTrade this market →

KS Cracovia Krakow vs. Pogon Szczecin - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "KS Cracovia Krakow vs. Pogon Szczecin - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Pogon Szczecin (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Pogon Szczecin O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $98K Liquidity: $498K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
Open live market →
KS Cracovia Krakow vs. Pogon Szczecin - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Pogon Szczecin (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
Pogon Szczecin O/U 0.5100%
Pogon Szczecin O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Pogon Szczecin 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Pogon Szczecin 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
KS Cracovia Krakow (-1.5)0%
KS Cracovia Krakow (-2.5)0%
Pogon Szczecin (-2.5)0%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
KS Cracovia Krakow O/U 0.50%
KS Cracovia Krakow O/U 1.50%
KS Cracovia Krakow O/U 2.50%
Pogon Szczecin O/U 2.50%
KS Cracovia Krakow 1st Half O/U 0.50%
KS Cracovia Krakow 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Pogon Szczecin 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Pogon Szczecin 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
KS Cracovia Krakow 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
KS Cracovia Krakow 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Cracovia’s Ekstraklasa meeting with Pogoń Szczecin comes into focus as a fixture that has recently produced tight, low-scoring margins rather than one-sided outcomes. The pair drew 1-1 in April 2026, and the broader head-to-head is fairly balanced, with Pogoń ahead on wins but not by a dominant margin[5][16]. Recent form also points to caution rather than a clear mismatch: Cracovia opened the current league run with a 0-0 away draw at Lech Poznań, while Pogoń lost 1-0 at home to Legia Warszawa in their latest league match[3][4]. That combination helps explain why the crowd has not priced a strong angle on “more markets” yet, especially with both sides showing a tendency to keep games close[4][19].

For traders, the key catalysts are the confirmed line-ups, late fitness calls and any late suspensions, because a market built around extra betting options can move quickly if either side changes shape or rotates key attackers. The most relevant current team news available in the pre-match feeds is the predicted line-up and live match-centre coverage on SofaScore and Flashscore, which typically update close to kick-off with starting XIs and absences[1][2]. Pogoń’s recent schedule also matters: they had a league defeat to Legia after a July friendly against Fenerbahçe, so any fatigue or rotation signal would be worth watching[4]. Cracovia, meanwhile, have just been in a run of low-event games, so if either side names a more conservative midfield or extra defender, it would reinforce the market’s existing lean towards fewer additional scoring scenarios[4][19].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for KS Cracovia Krakow vs. Pogon Szczecin - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

Trade KS Cracovia Krakow vs. Pogon Szczecin - More Markets on World Cup 2026 Favorites

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Sports