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CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 100% CR Vasco da Gama O/U 0.5 100% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% CR Vasco da Gama 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $216K Closes: 29 Jul 2026
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CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
CR Vasco da Gama O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
CR Vasco da Gama 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)0%
Independiente Medellín (-1.5)0%
CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)0%
Independiente Medellín (-2.5)0%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
CR Vasco da Gama O/U 1.50%
CR Vasco da Gama O/U 2.50%
Independiente Medellín O/U 0.50%
Independiente Medellín O/U 1.50%
Independiente Medellín O/U 2.50%
CR Vasco da Gama 1st Half O/U 0.50%
CR Vasco da Gama 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Independiente Medellín 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Independiente Medellín 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
CR Vasco da Gama 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Independiente Medellín 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Independiente Medellín 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín - More Markets — current market-implied probability: 100%. More markets for the Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for July 29 at 6:00 PM ET.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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Related Topics

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