Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
97% | 3% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
97% | 3% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 97% |
| Djurgardens IF O/U 0.5 | 95% |
| O/U 1.5 | 88% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 87% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 80% |
| Djurgardens IF O/U 1.5 | 78% |
| Djurgardens IF 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 72% |
| O/U 2.5 | 70% |
| Djurgardens IF (-1.5) | 59% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 59% |
| Halmstads BK O/U 0.5 | 55% |
| Djurgardens IF O/U 2.5 | 54% |
| Djurgardens IF 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Both Teams to Score | 51% |
| Djurgardens IF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Halmstads BK 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 49% |
| O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Halmstads BK 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Djurgardens IF (-2.5) | 37% |
| Djurgardens IF 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Halmstads BK 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 28% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Halmstads BK O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 18% |
| O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Halmstads BK 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 5% |
| Halmstads BK O/U 2.5 | 4% |
| Halmstads BK (-1.5) | 2% |
| Halmstads BK (-2.5) | 0% |
Market context
The Allsvenskan fixture between Djurgårdens IF and Halmstads BK at Tele2 Arena on 13 July 2026 pits a top-half side in form against a struggling team fighting to avoid relegation. Djurgårdens enter as strong favourites with a home win priced at 1.19, reflecting Halmstads’ poor campaign and the hosts’ offensive consistency, having seen Over 2.5 Goals land in their last five league outings [2][3].
Historically, Djurgårdens dominate this head-to-head record, winning 20 of 35 meetings since 2003 compared to Halmstads’ nine victories, with an average of 2.65 goals per match in direct contests [7][6]. In the last three home wins for Djurgårdens over Halmstads, the hosts did not concede, supporting the current 59% YES probability for markets tied to Djurgårdens’ dominance, though both teams have scored in recent fixtures, with Djurgårdens failing to keep a clean sheet in four consecutive league matches [2][10].
Traders should monitor final squad announcements for Kristian Lien, who has scored four times in his last six appearances including a brace against Hacken, and watch for any late suspensions or injuries that could disrupt Djurgårdens’ attacking rhythm [2]. As the match kicks off at 1:00 PM ET, pre-match line-up confirmations and any in-game tactical shifts will be critical, particularly given Halmstads’ offensive capability despite their overall struggles [2].
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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