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IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius - More Markets

"IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius - More Markets" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

IK Sirius (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $196K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
IK Sirius (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
IF Elfsborg O/U 0.5100%
IK Sirius O/U 0.5100%
IK Sirius O/U 1.5100%
IK Sirius O/U 2.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 2.5100%
IF Elfsborg 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
IK Sirius 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
IK Sirius 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
IF Elfsborg (-1.5)0%
IF Elfsborg (-2.5)0%
IK Sirius (-2.5)0%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
IF Elfsborg O/U 1.50%
IF Elfsborg O/U 2.50%
IF Elfsborg 1st Half O/U 0.50%
IF Elfsborg 1st Half O/U 1.50%
IK Sirius 1st Half O/U 0.50%
IK Sirius 1st Half O/U 1.50%
IF Elfsborg 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

The Allsvenskan fixture between IF Elfsborg and IK Sirius at Borås Arena on 19 July 2026 concluded as a 0–0 draw, confirming the market’s current 0% YES probability for any additional goal-scoring outcomes beyond the settled result. This stalemate aligns with a recent trend of tight defensive displays in their encounters, despite historical volatility.

Historically, these sides have produced high-scoring affairs, including a 4–3 Elfsborg win in April 2025, with 9 of 19 meetings ending in an Elfsborg victory and a 37–30 goal difference favouring them [2][8]. However, the last two matches in 2026 both ended 0–0, suggesting a sharp tactical shift toward defensive caution that overrides past attacking patterns [3][10]. The 0% probability reflects this immediate form overriding long-term head-to-head aggression.

Traders should monitor post-match squad reports for Elfsborg’s recent 4–6–3 formation stability and Sirius’s 10–2–0 record, which may indicate resilience in future fixtures [4]. While no new injury or suspension news has emerged for this specific game, the absence of goals in both 2026 meetings suggests any future “more markets” bets on this pairing should weigh defensive cohesion over historical goal totals [3][6].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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