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BK Hacken vs. AIK - Exact Score

How the prediction market is pricing "BK Hacken vs. AIK - Exact Score" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Any Other Score 20% BK Hacken 1 - 1 AIK 11% BK Hacken 2 - 1 AIK 10% BK Hacken 1 - 0 AIK 7% Volume: $84K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 27 Jul 2026
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BK Hacken vs. AIK - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
20% 80% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
20% 80% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Other Score20%
BK Hacken 1 - 1 AIK11%
BK Hacken 2 - 1 AIK10%
BK Hacken 1 - 0 AIK7%
BK Hacken 2 - 0 AIK7%
BK Hacken 1 - 2 AIK7%
BK Hacken 2 - 2 AIK7%
BK Hacken 3 - 1 AIK7%
BK Hacken 3 - 2 AIK5%
BK Hacken 0 - 1 AIK4%
BK Hacken 3 - 0 AIK4%
BK Hacken 0 - 0 AIK3%
BK Hacken 0 - 2 AIK3%
BK Hacken 1 - 3 AIK3%
BK Hacken 2 - 3 AIK3%
BK Hacken 3 - 3 AIK2%
BK Hacken 0 - 3 AIK1%

Market context

BK Hacken travel to face AIK in the Swedish Allsvenskan on 27 July 2026, with the market pricing an exact scoreline at just 3% implied probability. The settlement window closes at 17:00 UTC on match day, allowing roughly 16 hours post-kick-off for final confirmation. Exact-score markets in league football typically compress heavily around the most frequent outcomes—1–1, 2–1, 1–0—whilst less common results trade at single-digit odds despite occurring in roughly 15–20% of matches across major European leagues.

Hacken and AIK have contrasting recent trajectories in Allsvenskan. AIK, Stockholm's traditional heavyweight, finished 2025 in mid-table but retain squad depth and European competition experience. Hacken, based in Gothenburg, have operated as a mid-tier side with inconsistent form; their home record and away record typically diverge sharply. Head-to-head records between these clubs show moderate goal-scoring variance, with scorelines ranging from 0–0 draws to 3–1 results over the past five seasons. Suspensions and injury lists for both squads should be confirmed 48 hours before kick-off; any absence of key attacking players would shift the distribution toward lower-scoring outcomes.

Traders should monitor team news releases from both clubs' official channels and Allsvenskan fixture announcements through mid-July. Weather conditions in Gothenburg—occasionally wet and windy—can suppress goal totals. The 1:00 PM ET start time (19:00 CET) falls within standard Swedish summer scheduling, reducing postponement risk. Any late-team changes or unexpected injuries announced within 72 hours of the match could materially alter the probability of specific scorelines, particularly if either side loses a regular striker or defensive anchor.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for BK Hacken vs. AIK - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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