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UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)

Football snapshot for "UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 70% O/U 1.5 Rounds 64% Fight won by KO/TKO? 56% Parnasse to win by KO/TKO? 49% Volume: $80K Liquidity: $121K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds70%
O/U 1.5 Rounds64%
Fight won by KO/TKO?56%
Parnasse to win by KO/TKO?49%
O/U 2.5 Rounds36%
Fight won by submission?34%
O/U 3.5 Rounds32%
O/U 4.5 Rounds28%
Hooker to win by KO/TKO?27%
Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse20%
Fight to Go the Distance?16%

Market context

The UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card) prediction market currently prices this outcome at 70% YES. This market will resolve to "Dan Hooker" if Dan Hooker is officially declared the winner of the fight against Salahdine Parnasse at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 202…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 70% for "UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 70% Other 30%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $80K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
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Related Topics

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