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Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

How the prediction market is pricing "Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 90% Volume: $258K Liquidity: $363K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.590%
Map 2 Winner59%
O/U 2.5 Games59%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.545%
Map Handicap: 2GAME (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)41%
Match Winner33%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 2GAME Esports (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 2GAME Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 2GAME Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-4.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.510%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+1.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 90% YES probability for Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between FURIA Esports and 2GAME Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 14 at 5:00PM ET. This market…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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